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Blue Moon
Five bold predictions for Week 18 of the NFL season.
Welcome to Glass Slipper! Myles Garrett is breaking that record within the next hour; please enjoy the show.
- Jacob Rhee
**NOTICE: Glass Slipper will arrive on Sunday, Tuesday, Thursday, and Saturday this week.
Every Sunday morning, I will make five bold predictions regarding the upcoming NFL games. Each time I get one incorrect, $10 is added to the money pot. At the end of the 18-week regular season, that pool of cash will be spent on gifts for random Glass Slipper subscribers. I hope you have a lot of fun rooting against me! Let’s go.
Prediction 1: Justin Jefferson finishes with 53+ receiving yards against Green Bay.
JJ McCarthy is so bad at football, that this now qualifies as a bold prediction for his poor superstar wideout. Justin has fallen short of the benchmark in six of McCarthy’s nine starts. For reference, he successfully reached it all five times that Carson Wentz got the nod. Yeah. Yikes.
53 is not an arbitrary number, by the way; it’s the amount of yards that Jefferson needs to reach 1,000 for the sixth consecutive campaign. Even though he has a CFL quarterback feeding him, I think the best receiver of the decade extends his streak.
Prediction 2: The Lions beat the Bears.
I can already see it. Crystal clear. Chicago ties the score at 24 with 90 seconds remaining, and Soldier Field is roaring. Jared Goff gets Detroit into field-goal range, and Jake Bates drills the game-winner. Dan Campbell starts blubbering at his media session, and spends the entire self-indulgent presser gushing about the culture that he created. NFL fans laud him on social media, and magically forget that he just missed the playoffs with one of the three most talented rosters in the league. Prepare yourselves for that.
The Lions could really use a loss here, to creep closer to Francis Mauigoa territory in the draft order. Ben Johnson’s crew wants to lock down the No. 2 seed. In other words, I don’t think either fan base will be particularly thrilled about the result today.
Prediction 3: Ashton Jeanty tallies 112+ rushing yards.
Ashton definitely does not strike me as an individual that cares about a yardage milestone. Still, I want quadruple digits for my guy.
Las Vegas has to do right by its young running back over the next nine months. Jeanty took 750 carries at Boise State, which is a total that likely chopped off a year or two from the back end of his prime. Do not waste another healthy season from him in 2026. Tyler Linderbaum is a free agent, and you have plenty of cap space. Slide a ridiculous contract in front of that man, and force him to turn you away.
Kansas City stops the run well, but I’m feeling a strong finish for Jeanty regardless. He’s earned it with his effort and attitude.
Prediction 4: Drake Maye records a passer rating below 100.0 against Miami.
Somehow, this has only happened on four occasions in Maye’s second campaign. Four! While it’s true that New England’s schedule has been unbelievably friendly, we’re witnessing some truly special stuff; the kid doesn’t even turn 24 until August.
I’m fascinated by this MVP battle. If Matthew Stafford claims it, his chances of securing a gold jacket someday probably jump above 95 percent. On the other side, Patriots folks are desperately pushing for their hero. The AFC is loaded with brilliant signal-callers, and it’s quite easy to get lost in the shuffle. So many of those elite dudes are out of the picture at the moment, and this could wind up being one of Maye’s only legitimate shots at the award.
Both QBs are in action at 4:25. I think big No. 10 leaves the door open for Stafford with a substandard performance, and the debate rages on until February.
Prediction 5: Lamar Jackson rushes for 50+ yards, and the Ravens defeat the Steelers.
Here’s the amount of times that Lamar has hit this threshold in a victory throughout his career. Perhaps laying it out by year will help you understand why I’m so startled by what we’ve watched this season.
2018: 5 times (7 starts)
2019: 11 times (15 starts)
2020: 8 times (15 starts)
2021: 6 times (12 starts)
2022: 4 times (12 starts)
2023: 6 times (16 starts)
2024: 7 times (17 starts)
2025: 0 times (12 starts)
Jackson’s numbers are actually solid, which is a testament to the ultra-rare talent that he possesses. Every item in his toolbox just feels so muted, though.
I’ve always appreciated Lamar’s competitive spirit, and I think he’s going to throw the kitchen sink this evening. A division title and a playoff spot hang in the balance. Jackson grits his teeth, moves the chains with his legs, and steers Baltimore to a monumental road win.
Week 17 Results: 0-5 (I deserve it.)
Overall Season Picks Record: 34-51
Current NFL Prize Pot: $510
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